A Reflection of Supply and Demand

Posted on July 01, 2011

The Coldwell Banker Residential Real Estate offices in Naples and Bonita Springs Florida recently had the honor of having Cindy Carroll as a guest speaker at their joint monthly business meeting. Cindy is a State-Certified Residential Real Estate Appraiser who I happen to go back with to the days when we were both picking up our kids at the same day care. In other words, she’s been around the block a time or two, and her knowledge of the market is unsurpassed. Cindy shared with us some market statistics, some of which I found to be absolutely stunning. As a point of clarification, the dates noted, being referred to as the “date of survey” indicate closed sales in the 12 months prior to the survey date.

Here are a few examples of a reflection of supply and demand in the Naples Residential Real Estate from Carroll and Carroll:

Aqualane Shores: Peaked at years supply in April 2007 with 3.63 years. Had only 7 closed sales the 12 months prior to July 2009, and presently has 43 active listings, 21 closed sales from May 2010-May 2011, and a current absorption rate of 2.05 years.

Olde Naples/Single Family Homes: Peaked at 3.2 years supply in December 2008, presently has 77 active listings, down from the peak of 116 in April 2007. Today’s absorption rate is just under 1 year.

Olde Naples/Condominiums: Inventory peaked in April 2007 with a 4.6 years supply. As a comparison, There were 74 active listings in February 2005 and 172 closed sales in the 12 months prior to that date. Currently there is a 1.48 year supply.

Port Royal: As far back as the survey was taken Port Royal has maintained approximately a 2 year supply. Absorption rate was 2.7 in June 2003, it was 2.35 in October 2008, 2.21 in April 2010, and currently with 61 active listings the years supply is 1.49 with 41 closed sales in the past 12 months.

Royal Harbor: One of the most astonishing statistics comes to us from the Royal Harbor area. In April 2007 the years supply was 9.6 years! With 48 active listings at that time and only 5 closed sales in the 12 months prior to that date. Closed sales in Royal Harbor peaked in 2004 with 44 closings. Currently there are 38 actives, 27 closed sales in the past 12 months, and a 1.41 years supply-An amazing recovery!

Moorings, Park Shore & Coquina Sands/Single Family Homes: The years supply in this area peaked in April 2007 at 3.7 and currently has one of the healthiest absorption rates at 1.07 years supply, 115 active listings, 34 pending, and 107 closed in the past 12 months!

Moorings, Park Shore & Coquina Sands/Condominiums: Similar to the single family homes west of 41, the condos currently have a 1.29 years supply, and peaked in April 2007 with approximately a 2 1/2 year supply.

NA 15: This is the area between 41 and Goodlette Road. Single family homes available was at a shortage in November 2010! Currently there is a .56 year supply, with only 39 active listings and 70 closed sales in the past 12 months. Three years ago this zone peaked at 3.5 years supply.

Several other areas have seen shortages and a balances between supply and demand, they are: Golden Gate City currently at .28 years supply, Lakewood at .57 years supply, Naples Manor at .20 year supply, and Golden Gate Estates which had a shortage of inventory in November 2010.

Cindy shared several other communities with us, and I have information about Pelican Landing, Pelican Bay, Bonita Bay, The Vineyards, Quail Creek & Quail West, Pine Ridge and the Vanderbilt Beach areas. If you would like details about a neighborhood not mentioned in this blog post, please call The Harris Peppe Team today. 239.370.0574 We would be happy to do a no-obligation evaluation of either an area where you are thinking of investing or a home that you presently own.

Thank you, and make it a GREAT day!

The Naples Real Estate Blogger